Monday, August 27, 2012

First Solar Shares Got Burned: What You Need to Know

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of thin-film solar maker First Solar (Nasdaq: FSLR  ) are getting rained on today, down by a whopping 22% at the low, after the company cut its fiscal 2011 guidance and issued a gloomy fiscal 2012 outlook.

So what: First Solar reduced its fiscal 2011 sales guidance from a previous range of $3 billion-$3.3 billion to a lower range of $2.8 billion-$2.9 billion. Fiscal 2012 sales are expected in the neighborhood of $3.7 billion-$4 billion. The figures fall short of analysts' expectations, which call for $3.2 billion in fiscal 2011 and $4.1 billion in fiscal 2012.

Now what: The bottom-line earnings-per-share guidance paints an even darker picture. First Solar sees diluted EPS between $5.75 and $6 for fiscal 2011 and $3.75-$4.25 for fiscal 2012. Analysts are looking for an EPS of $6.88 and $7.42 in 2011 and 2012, respectively, so the midpoint of the 2012 expected profit is 46% lower than what the market was expecting. First Solar attributed the weakness to delays of certain projects due to weather and other factors. It doesn't help that Chinese solar players like LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK  ) and Trina Solar (NYSE: TSL  ) , among others, are literally killing themselves to gain market share.

Interested in more info on First Solar? Add it to your watchlist by clicking here.

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