In the quest to find great investments, most investors focus on earnings to gauge a company's financial strength. This is a good start, but earnings can be misleading and incomplete. To get a clearer understanding of a company's ability to earn money and reward you, the shareholder, it's often better to focus on cash flow. In this series, we tear apart a company's cash flow statement to see how much money is truly being earned, and more importantly, what management is doing with that cash.
Step on up, Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY ) .
The first step in analyzing cash flow is to look at net income. Bristol-Myers Squibb's net income over the last five years has been impressive:
� | 2011* | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Normalized Net Income | $4.5 billion | $4.2 billion | $3.9 billion | $3.1 billion | $2.1 billion |
Source: S&P Capital IQ. *12 months ended Sept. 30.��������������������������
Next, we add back in a few noncash expenses like the depreciation of assets, and adjust net income for changes in inventory, accounts receivable, and accounts payable -- changes in cash levels that reflect a company either paying its bills, or being paid by customers. This yields a figure called cash from operating activities -- the amount of cash a company generates from doing everyday business.
From there, we subtract capital expenditures, or the amount a company spends acquiring or fixing physical assets. This yields one version of a figure called free cash flow, or the true amount of cash a company has left over for its investors after doing business:
� | 2011* | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Free Cash Flow | $4.5 billion | $4.1 billion | $3.3 billion | $2.8 billion | $2.3 billion |
Source: S&P Capital IQ. *12 months ended Sept. 30.
Now we know how much cash Bristol-Myers Squibb is really pulling in each year. Next question: What is it doing with that cash?
There are two ways a company can use free cash flow to directly reward shareholders: dividends and share repurchases. Cash not returned to shareholders can either be stashed in the bank, used to invest in other companies, or to pay off debt.
Here's how much Bristol-Myers Squibb has returned to shareholders in recent years:
� | 2011* | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dividends | $2.2 billion | $2.2 billion | $2.5 billion | $2.5 billion | $2.2 billion |
Share Repurchases | $1.1 billion | $0.6 billion | -- | -- | -- |
Total Returned to Shareholders | $3.3 billion | $2.8 billion | $2.5 billion | $2.5 billion | $2.2 billion |
Source: S&P Capital IQ. *12 months ended Sept. 30.
As you can see, the company has repurchased a decent amount of its own stock. That's caused shares outstanding to fall:
� | 2011* | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shares Outstanding (millions) | 1,704 | 1,713 | 1,974 | 1,977 | 1,970 |
Source: S&P Capital IQ. *12 months ended Sept. 30.
Now, companies tend to be fairly poor at repurchasing their own shares, buying feverishly when shares are expensive and backing away when they're cheap. Does Bristol-Myers Squibb fall into this trap? Let's take a look:
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Bristol-Myers Squibb has only engaged in share repurchases during two quarters over the last five years, so it's hard to get a good feel for management's buying activity. The two rounds of repurchases did come after shares had rebounded mightily from the recession, but there's simply not enough information to tell whether this was imprudent or not. Given reasonable valuations in relation to earnings and cash flow, these buybacks have likely been a good deal for shareholders.
Finally, I like to look at how dividends have added to total shareholder returns:
Source: S&P Capital IQ.
Over the last five years, Bristol-Myers Squibb shares returned 48%, which drops to 16% without dividends -- not a bad boost to top off already high returns.
To gauge how well a company is doing, keep an eye on the cash. How much a company earns is not as important as how much cash is actually coming in the door, and how much cash is coming in the door isn't as important as what management actually does with that cash. Remember, you, the shareholder, own the company. Are you happy with the way management has used Bristol-Myers Squibb's cash? Sound off in the comment section below.
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